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The Weekly Bottom Line

by Sergio Mariaca on Jul 5, 2019 2:04:00 PM |Share:

Here is what happened in the Capital Markets this week.

The Weekly Bottom Line (please click link to open)

The Weekly Bottom Line, courtesy of TD Economics, includes a review of market performances, recent key economic indicators, a calendar of upcoming key economic releases, and other relevant data. The highlights from this week’s report include: 

  • News of a trade truce between the U.S. and China buoyed equity markets at the start of the week. The ceasefire put ad­ditional tariffs on hold, and there were some modest concessions on both sides.
  • On the economic front, messages were decidedly mixed this week. The ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing in­dexes moved lower in June, while the payroll report showed a reacceleration in hiring with 224k jobs created last month.
  • Given the balance of risks, there is still a solid case for a 25- basis point “insurance” cut when the Fed meets later this month. But, insurance is likely to mean one or two rate cuts this year and not four or five as markets are pricing.

DISCLAIMER

This report is provided by TD Economics.  It is for informational and educational purposes only as of the date of writing, and may not be appropriate for other purposes.  The views and opinions expressed may change at any time based on market or other conditions and may not come to pass. This material is not intended to be relied upon as investment advice or recommendations, does not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell securities and should not be considered specific legal, investment or tax advice.  The report does not provide material information about the business and affairs of TD Bank Group and the members of TD Economics are not spokespersons for TD Bank Group with respect to its business and affairs.  The information contained in this report has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete.  This report contains economic analysis and views, including about future economic and financial markets performance.  These are based on certain assumptions and other factors, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties.  The actual outcome may be materially different.  The Toronto-Dominion Bank and its affiliates and related entities that comprise the TD Bank Group are not liable for any errors or omissions in the information, analysis or views contained in this report, or for any loss or damage suffered.

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