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The Weekly Bottom Line

by Sergio Mariaca on Feb 15, 2019 2:48:35 PM |Share:

Here is what happened in the Capital Markets this week.

The Weekly Bottom Line (please click link to open)

The Weekly Bottom Line, courtesy of TD Economics, includes a review of market performances, recent key economic indicators, a calendar of upcoming key economic releases, and other relevant data. The highlights from this week’s report include:  

·        December retail sales came in significantly weaker than expected, falling 1.2% m/m, with the decline being broad-based. Consumption in Q4 is now tracking around 2.6% annualized – softer than expected, but still a pretty good showing.

·        The retail sales report provides a weak handoff to 2019. The fact that the government shutdown extended into January and consumer confidence retreated on the month, further reinforces the notion for a soft print in first-quarter spending and GDP.

·        Core inflation remained at 2.2% (y/y) in January, where it has sat for five of the past six months. And there is little indi­cation that it will move in either direction soon. This should provide comfort for the Fed to remain patient. 

DISCLAIMER

This report is provided by TD Economics.  It is for informational and educational purposes only as of the date of writing, and may not be appropriate for other purposes.  The views and opinions expressed may change at any time based on market or other conditions and may not come to pass. This material is not intended to be relied upon as investment advice or recommendations, does not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell securities and should not be considered specific legal, investment or tax advice.  The report does not provide material information about the business and affairs of TD Bank Group and the members of TD Economics are not spokespersons for TD Bank Group with respect to its business and affairs.  The information contained in this report has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete.  This report contains economic analysis and views, including about future economic and financial markets performance.  These are based on certain assumptions and other factors, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties.  The actual outcome may be materially different.  The Toronto-Dominion Bank and its affiliates and related entities that comprise the TD Bank Group are not liable for any errors or omissions in the information, analysis or views contained in this report, or for any loss or damage suffered.

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